Dec 5, 2021 8:49 AM
UttUtt
126699
1636
33
Repost from 2015
AgamemnonsMemes
I love when they get stuck and clean a whole line, very satisfying.
copingcabana
"This will all be over soon. Cases are going down to zero. Like a miracle."
KainKaiser
Fun fact: The Japanese in the end reads "Congratulations".
RealFakeUsername
Exponential growth isn't 'curves up real steep'. It is specifically when the rate it goes up is proportional to how much is already there.
This video shows exponential growth: more balls = balls come faster. As does the early stages of viral infection.
98oktan
At first I thought 'Man, this is gonna take forever'
StorytellingSalem
Omicron quadrupled in four days in south africa. Keep your masks on ppl and socially distance.
MisterLemons
Do what the intelligent have been advising to do since the day one? Never stopped. Doesn't compensate for morons and their "freedom" though.
InTimeTheyllCallMePoppaWheelie
Wow, that pixelated quickly.
magnesiumshoecovers
SithElephant
Is an exponential with a variable doubling time (the particles don't all move vertically) exponential?
(I agree it's approximately exponential)
Mitroll
Been a long time since I saw this flash animation. Nostalgic.
konmari
jezball amirite
n0gal
closer to 'breakout' but i love jezzball.
loser9999
Technically this is a logarithmic growth because once it hits a certain point the computers ability to render the image slows it down
ShouldersDeepInAHorse
So that's how they make the fabric covering for old bus seats...
AlfredPHumidor
Needs some skyrm intro haha
H3R3TiK
Would like to see this with each impact releasing 2 others only from the top line at a time, instead of tunneling.
chromed
I think this is actually "only" geometric growth right? Each pixel doubles itself so it's a 2n progression not n^2? Still fast af.
dwarfinaflask87
2^n, which is exponential growth, grows faster than n^2.
Ah you're right, been a long time since I used that knowledge.
ElbowDeepInUserSub
Oops! All infected!
happyhumicorn
malfunctionm1ke
"madagascar closed its harbour"
badatediting
Madagascar ain't hard. Greenland is hard.
GuyWithDog
Get the spreading options via birds etc
PlaidBastard
Exponential growth highly dependent on the mechanics of the specific system that's growing exponentially...
I guess I'm kinda unimpressed with this specific visualization if you're trying to show the general concept or a visual metaphor for covid.
Like, dropping a lit match into a pile of matches would be basically the same level of 'simulation' here
troy1984
Well that escalated quickly.
regularmatt
Why do some bounce off and some break through?
AlikazamerGaming
They are breaking the top of a cavity, then the bottom.
ArthurPhillipDent
They all respond the same. They dont become breakers until they hit the bottom line though. Maybe they pass through each other
pumly
None break through. Same number of pixels at start and end, just they gradually break free from the block at the top one at a time.
CarpoolTunnelSyndrome
Hax
Higure
Glitches in the code lets them slip through the grid at the top and get inside.
InsertHomePageUp
You've never played Through the Wall, ev'ya?
I don’t think so. I’ve played brick bouncing games, but I thought this was a scientific demo. One of the first bounces makes a small tunnel.
It's still nice demo. It could've been done without wall, but with it we can see how fast it gets eaten out.
dragonfury101
I like the patterns
AtsaMattaForMe
v
Arcian
Jesus Christ those birds
tex65
If I remember right, The trees are cooking yeah?
Yep, and birds actively incinerating on their way to the ground. Feathers gone before they hit the sand.
Oh damn, didn't notice the birds!
Freeasabird2015
I looked at this and thought humanity devouring the Earth. Oh, no it's a game or something.
BaronZemoDisco
Demagur
Also why blowing up satellites in orbit is a bad idea.
Daeyelle
The movie gravity explains it terribly, but still a good film
maydai110
Wait what? I need exposition.
Kessler syndrome. A piece of debris hits a satellite and creates thousands of pieces of debris which strikes another satellite and so on.
phobosorbust
Debris at 200km might only last a month. 400km? A year or two. 600km? Decades to centuries.
There are some critically important satellites in medium orbit (GPS, weather, internet, etc.) and a huge number of low orbit sats at risk
Russia and China have both shot down satellites in orbits high enough to cause problems for longer than the US has existed.
PballQhead
ACKSHUALLY...
gabicraina
ahernandez
It shocks how basic this math is, and yet no one seemed to be aware of it.
thermodaemonics
This is why on anything dependent on science or math you should ignore the polished lawyers & marketing people and listen to the geeks.
hippocampus
And when you combine both, you realise that it's a saturated function that starts with exponential growth and reaches a plateau.
It plateaus when the R0 (practically speaking, the exponent) drops below 1, which it isn't doing in a lot of the world.
barnwolf
Hasn't R0 dropped below 1 multiple times? That's why the number of new cases isn't continuously increasing?
Yep, and then it goes back up, hence all the waves.
giho970205
Anyone here still plays powdergame?
TuckerTheGuy
That escalated exponentially.
daranthered
Well, that escalated exponentially.
funkeejunkee
This is what "something goes viral" looks like. Or why scientists don't say "It's gonna disappear" when 100k dead within months happens.
arjim
Lets be super honest here, one orange baboon thought that; and 30% of the world followed.
ChaoticSquid
To play devil's advocate, a high death rate can negatively affect the transmission rate of a virus. Death rate isn't high enough for that >
CorydorasAfavorplease
Darn
With covid though.
Ebola has that 'problem', it kills people just as fast as it spreads, so basically any anti-spread measures make it decline.
JaimeLannistersRightHand
It'll disappear, soon there'll be noone left to get infected
trapdoorogre
Clear!
DanBranDaMan
Wrong, because then it mutates and becomes more infectious.
MrSleepyguy
Whoever put this Plague Inc. Game on easy mode is an ass, do many people not believing or listening to the science
pip1
Mutations, buddy
TheGrantAlexander
You've had first infection, but what about second infection?
shyriath
(I don't think they know about second infection, Pip)
ender404
Can't get infected if you're dead is more what I thought he meant
BobaFetaCheese
I never understood why people thought it would just vanish like that.
roofield
All the other diseases we vaccinated againts disappeared. Why not Covid?
electronicbovine
Hmm, this isn't true.
Nightcaste
Because they're stupid. They believe bluster actually does anything.
VaultGirl69
They understood, they just lied to dummies who will believe and repeat anything, even if it kills grandma.
BigFatFailureTurtle
Some were motivated to feign ignorance, others were just genuinely dumb. I respect the second group, but not the first.
I only respect dumb people when they don't try to enforce their beliefs on others.
GondwanaCraton
The "people" in question were politicians with no plan on how to deal with it and an ego that refused to admit failure or face facts.
scribethemad
And followers who legit believed it was made up for politics and didn't really exist.
The followers only believed that because the leaders told them so. The leaders and the radical right media.
N0tDave
Liars. Just call them what they are, Fucking Liars.
Yes, but I’m more concerned with people’s lack of understanding for basic science.
Not every new virus is deadly. And the info coming out of China was both new and suspect. But an excess of caution would have saved lives.
"but caution" is fair. Not sure why you'd categorize this caution as excessive.
AdobewanKenobe
South Dakota or Florida?
All red states.
jasgstock
All states. E.g. look at MA recently:
RI:
(etc)
Here's the aforementioned SD BTW:
I suppose it depends on what you think is important. A vaccine doesn't prevent people from getting COVID, but it can prevent deaths. The
rate of death in your chart seems to be rather flat for the past 8 months, even as cases rose for the past 5 months.
The rate of death went from 1.5 per day to now 15 per day. That's not "flat" - that's a 10x increase.
AgamemnonsMemes
I love when they get stuck and clean a whole line, very satisfying.
copingcabana
"This will all be over soon. Cases are going down to zero. Like a miracle."
KainKaiser
Fun fact: The Japanese in the end reads "Congratulations".
RealFakeUsername
Exponential growth isn't 'curves up real steep'. It is specifically when the rate it goes up is proportional to how much is already there.
RealFakeUsername
This video shows exponential growth: more balls = balls come faster. As does the early stages of viral infection.
98oktan
At first I thought 'Man, this is gonna take forever'
StorytellingSalem
Omicron quadrupled in four days in south africa. Keep your masks on ppl and socially distance.
MisterLemons
Do what the intelligent have been advising to do since the day one? Never stopped. Doesn't compensate for morons and their "freedom" though.
InTimeTheyllCallMePoppaWheelie
Wow, that pixelated quickly.
magnesiumshoecovers
SithElephant
Is an exponential with a variable doubling time (the particles don't all move vertically) exponential?
SithElephant
(I agree it's approximately exponential)
Mitroll
Been a long time since I saw this flash animation. Nostalgic.
konmari
jezball amirite
n0gal
closer to 'breakout' but i love jezzball.
loser9999
Technically this is a logarithmic growth because once it hits a certain point the computers ability to render the image slows it down
ShouldersDeepInAHorse
So that's how they make the fabric covering for old bus seats...
AlfredPHumidor
Needs some skyrm intro haha
H3R3TiK
Would like to see this with each impact releasing 2 others only from the top line at a time, instead of tunneling.
chromed
I think this is actually "only" geometric growth right? Each pixel doubles itself so it's a 2n progression not n^2? Still fast af.
dwarfinaflask87
2^n, which is exponential growth, grows faster than n^2.
chromed
Ah you're right, been a long time since I used that knowledge.
ElbowDeepInUserSub
Oops! All infected!
happyhumicorn
malfunctionm1ke
"madagascar closed its harbour"
badatediting
Madagascar ain't hard. Greenland is hard.
GuyWithDog
Get the spreading options via birds etc
PlaidBastard
Exponential growth highly dependent on the mechanics of the specific system that's growing exponentially...
PlaidBastard
I guess I'm kinda unimpressed with this specific visualization if you're trying to show the general concept or a visual metaphor for covid.
PlaidBastard
Like, dropping a lit match into a pile of matches would be basically the same level of 'simulation' here
troy1984
Well that escalated quickly.
regularmatt
Why do some bounce off and some break through?
AlikazamerGaming
They are breaking the top of a cavity, then the bottom.
ArthurPhillipDent
They all respond the same. They dont become breakers until they hit the bottom line though. Maybe they pass through each other
pumly
None break through. Same number of pixels at start and end, just they gradually break free from the block at the top one at a time.
CarpoolTunnelSyndrome
Hax
Higure
Glitches in the code lets them slip through the grid at the top and get inside.
InsertHomePageUp
You've never played Through the Wall, ev'ya?
regularmatt
I don’t think so. I’ve played brick bouncing games, but I thought this was a scientific demo. One of the first bounces makes a small tunnel.
InsertHomePageUp
It's still nice demo. It could've been done without wall, but with it we can see how fast it gets eaten out.
dragonfury101
I like the patterns
AtsaMattaForMe
MisterLemons
Arcian
Jesus Christ those birds
tex65
If I remember right, The trees are cooking yeah?
MisterLemons
Yep, and birds actively incinerating on their way to the ground. Feathers gone before they hit the sand.
tex65
Oh damn, didn't notice the birds!
Freeasabird2015
I looked at this and thought humanity devouring the Earth. Oh, no it's a game or something.
BaronZemoDisco
Demagur
Also why blowing up satellites in orbit is a bad idea.
Daeyelle
The movie gravity explains it terribly, but still a good film
maydai110
Wait what? I need exposition.
Demagur
Kessler syndrome. A piece of debris hits a satellite and creates thousands of pieces of debris which strikes another satellite and so on.
phobosorbust
Debris at 200km might only last a month. 400km? A year or two. 600km? Decades to centuries.
phobosorbust
There are some critically important satellites in medium orbit (GPS, weather, internet, etc.) and a huge number of low orbit sats at risk
phobosorbust
Russia and China have both shot down satellites in orbits high enough to cause problems for longer than the US has existed.
PballQhead
ACKSHUALLY...
gabicraina
ahernandez
It shocks how basic this math is, and yet no one seemed to be aware of it.
thermodaemonics
This is why on anything dependent on science or math you should ignore the polished lawyers & marketing people and listen to the geeks.
hippocampus
And when you combine both, you realise that it's a saturated function that starts with exponential growth and reaches a plateau.
PballQhead
It plateaus when the R0 (practically speaking, the exponent) drops below 1, which it isn't doing in a lot of the world.
barnwolf
Hasn't R0 dropped below 1 multiple times? That's why the number of new cases isn't continuously increasing?
PballQhead
Yep, and then it goes back up, hence all the waves.
giho970205
Anyone here still plays powdergame?
TuckerTheGuy
That escalated exponentially.
daranthered
Well, that escalated exponentially.
funkeejunkee
This is what "something goes viral" looks like. Or why scientists don't say "It's gonna disappear" when 100k dead within months happens.
arjim
Lets be super honest here, one orange baboon thought that; and 30% of the world followed.
ChaoticSquid
To play devil's advocate, a high death rate can negatively affect the transmission rate of a virus. Death rate isn't high enough for that >
CorydorasAfavorplease
Darn
ChaoticSquid
With covid though.
ChaoticSquid
Ebola has that 'problem', it kills people just as fast as it spreads, so basically any anti-spread measures make it decline.
JaimeLannistersRightHand
It'll disappear, soon there'll be noone left to get infected
trapdoorogre
Clear!
DanBranDaMan
Wrong, because then it mutates and becomes more infectious.
MrSleepyguy
Whoever put this Plague Inc. Game on easy mode is an ass, do many people not believing or listening to the science
pip1
Mutations, buddy
TheGrantAlexander
You've had first infection, but what about second infection?
shyriath
(I don't think they know about second infection, Pip)
ender404
Can't get infected if you're dead is more what I thought he meant
BobaFetaCheese
I never understood why people thought it would just vanish like that.
roofield
All the other diseases we vaccinated againts disappeared. Why not Covid?
electronicbovine
Hmm, this isn't true.
Nightcaste
Because they're stupid. They believe bluster actually does anything.
VaultGirl69
They understood, they just lied to dummies who will believe and repeat anything, even if it kills grandma.
BigFatFailureTurtle
Some were motivated to feign ignorance, others were just genuinely dumb. I respect the second group, but not the first.
ChaoticSquid
I only respect dumb people when they don't try to enforce their beliefs on others.
GondwanaCraton
The "people" in question were politicians with no plan on how to deal with it and an ego that refused to admit failure or face facts.
scribethemad
And followers who legit believed it was made up for politics and didn't really exist.
GondwanaCraton
The followers only believed that because the leaders told them so. The leaders and the radical right media.
N0tDave
Liars. Just call them what they are, Fucking Liars.
BobaFetaCheese
Yes, but I’m more concerned with people’s lack of understanding for basic science.
GondwanaCraton
Not every new virus is deadly. And the info coming out of China was both new and suspect. But an excess of caution would have saved lives.
electronicbovine
"but caution" is fair. Not sure why you'd categorize this caution as excessive.
AdobewanKenobe
South Dakota or Florida?
GondwanaCraton
All red states.
jasgstock
All states. E.g. look at MA recently:
jasgstock
RI:
jasgstock
(etc)
jasgstock
Here's the aforementioned SD BTW:
GondwanaCraton
I suppose it depends on what you think is important. A vaccine doesn't prevent people from getting COVID, but it can prevent deaths. The
GondwanaCraton
rate of death in your chart seems to be rather flat for the past 8 months, even as cases rose for the past 5 months.
jasgstock
The rate of death went from 1.5 per day to now 15 per day. That's not "flat" - that's a 10x increase.