What are the actual chances of this?

Dec 24, 2024 1:25 PM

toogoodtomiss

Views

8097

Likes

460

Dislikes

10

wearealltools

team_pinecone

Not terribly suspicious. If you see your team lagging behind, you're more likely to throw a few more snowballs than you might if you were already ahead. And with the ability to see the exact current scores, I'd like to think we end up with a "I Have No Strong Opinions/Futurama/Youtube video" scenario going on as well.

1 year ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 1

they need to do a recount by hand!

1 year ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

The system has negative feedback in it; if your side is losing, you're more likely to press the button. The larger value slows down, the lower value speeds up, and they swap over, and over, and over.

1 year ago | Likes 5 Dislikes 1

1 year ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 2

2.2M to 2.2M for me right now. And when it started the scores were within about 4-6k of each other, a difference which wouldn't show at this scale, I guess

1 year ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

You can click the icon between the two teams to show the exact numbers.

1 year ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

They're stealing the votes. The imgur-ion voting machines are taking points from acorns and flipping them to pinecone. We have the data, and it will be presented in due time. The things they are doing to lie and cheat is shocking, you'll be so offended. We must take down the verminous squirrels that are stealing our acorns!

1 year ago | Likes 10 Dislikes 1

Is Trump in your gang?

1 year ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

All of this seems artificial. There are tons of posts on FP that only have a single comment. And a lot of it is crap.

1 year ago | Likes 14 Dislikes 0

they are really weighing the algorithm toward this event. all about telling advertisers what good little engaged monkeys we are with artificial numbers

1 year ago | Likes 7 Dislikes 0

So apart from a slightly-lower comment rate, it's business as usual, eh?

1 year ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

Because snowballing also upvotes the post. Lots of things are getting to the FP without the normal levels of engagement.

1 year ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 1

actually - and honestly it won't stay this way for long ...

1 year ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 1

Arrrgh! I thought for sure the Pineys would prevail. I threw my thumb out hurling snowballs!

1 year ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

I have a feeling that they delay each sides vote totals alternately, so one team thinks they are behind and start voting more.

1 year ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

So it's all a social economic experiment?

1 year ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 1

If you mean a year end ad revenue generation plan, I think there is a good chance.

1 year ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

chances are pretty high, we are talking numbers where averages start being average, two large samples over the same normal distribution will give similar expectation values.

1 year ago | Likes 92 Dislikes 5

Nope, it's 50/50. Either it is, or it isn't.

1 year ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 1

1 year ago | Likes 17 Dislikes 0

pretty sure users are only assigned a team when they log in during the event and the random team assignment pushes a few extra users to the trailing team all the time, so the team in the lead always has a slight handycap...thats how you assure a race stays close for a long time, make the leader be at a disadvantage at all times...

1 year ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

sounds like more effort to me xD
i expect more like "if {userID = odd} then {acorns} else {pinecones}"

1 year ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

That was my guess as well

1 year ago | Likes 4 Dislikes 0

I was hoping a statistical expert would weigh in.. thanks!

1 year ago | Likes 12 Dislikes 2

If you click on the totals up there, it'll show you the exact count. It's not as close as it appears.

1 year ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

not a full expert, but i've dabbled :3

1 year ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 1

Statistics dabbler sounds sexy!

1 year ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Want me to skew your data? 👀

1 year ago | Likes 1 Dislikes 0

4.2 million engagements here in two days? Those are numbers that sound like Imgur circa 2016.

1 year ago | Likes 26 Dislikes 0

Yeah but you can click five times per post this year so that doesn't really bode well...

1 year ago | Likes 20 Dislikes 0

So really it's probably closer to 240,000 give or take depending on how many people click multiple times

1 year ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Those are rookie numbers

1 year ago | Likes 2 Dislikes 0

Right, I have thrown hundreds of snowballs, maybe over 1000

1 year ago | Likes 8 Dislikes 0

Yeah, I figure I'm somewhere between 500-1000. If 250 is average there are around 20,000 users that have engaged with the mechanic so far.

1 year ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0

Less that 3k views per front page post per avg

1 year ago | Likes 3 Dislikes 0